Monday, April 5, 2010

How there will be baseball in October

Alright so I'll post a lot about the cubs this season so ill try and make this preview short & sweet. These are things the cubs need to have happen in order to be playing in october (i figure they need to win 88 games to win the division or wild card).

55 victories between Zambrano, Lilly, Dempster & Wells - that is around 13-14 W's a man. This will mean that they all stay healthy & make 30+ starts each.

450 ABs for Aramis Ramirez - It became evident last year that A-ram was the most feared & consistent hitter in the cubs lineup & it is drastically different w/o him. I expect atleast 1 trip to the 15 day DL but him missing anymore than 20 games will cripple the cubs lineup.

250 batting average & 35 hrs for Soriano & Soto - I dont expect great things from either of these guys but i would think they could produce these #s. Sadly these are pretty average numbers but much better than what they produced last year. It would be a decent season from the cubs #6 & 7 hitters.

4.20 ERA & 30 saves from the bullpen - I think marmol will be the closer the whole year but the rest of the bullpen is unsettled. Its young but with a lot of talent. With a solid starting staff the cubs dont need the bullpen to be lights out but just average to above average. A combined 4.2 ERA would be average.

300+ at bats for Castro & Colvin - This isnt because i think they are gonna hit the crap out of the ball. Its because they make the cubs a better defensive team and with that win more games. Colvin is by far the best defensive outfielder the cubs and Castro is a better defensive SS than theriot. I dont care how it happens whether it be through poor performances by veterans, stellar performances by these young guys, or injuries, these 2 young kids make the cubs better now.

Like i said above, i think the cubs need to win 88 games to be playing in October. Thats only 5 more games than they won last year. They dont need to re-invent the wheel to get those extra 5 games. They need improvement in a few areas and performances similar to 2009 from most of their team. If these 5 things happen, I will gladly buying old styles for everyone in october.

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